Scenario “Knowledge-Uncertainty” Questions

  • Do we know what forces are shaping our current and emerging business environment?
  • Do we know what new driving forces might emerge?
  • Do we know which forces might not change much over the scenario period?
  • Do we know which of these forces have more uncertainty associated with them?
  • Do we know how these forces might interact to give rise to one future rather than another?

Source: How corporations learn from scenarios | Liam Fahey | Strategy & Leadership, VOL. 31 NO. 2 2003, pp. 5-15

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